...
  • 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>PLoS One >Tracking the dynamics and allocating tests for COVID-19 in real-time: An acceleration index with an application to French age groups and départements
【24h】

Tracking the dynamics and allocating tests for COVID-19 in real-time: An acceleration index with an application to French age groups and départements

机译：在实时跟踪Covid-19的动态和分配测试：与法国年龄组和Départements的应用程序的加速索引

获取原文
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

An acceleration index is proposed as a novel indicator to track the dynamics of COVID-19 in real-time. Using data on cases and tests in France for the period between the first and second lock-downs—May 13 to October 25, 2020—our acceleration index shows that the pandemic resurgence can be dated to begin around July 7. It uncovers that the pandemic acceleration was stronger than national average for the [59–68] and especially the 69 and older age groups since early September, the latter being associated with the strongest acceleration index, as of October 25. In contrast, acceleration among the [19–28] age group was the lowest and is about half that of the [69–78]. In addition, we propose an algorithm to allocate tests among French “départements” (roughly counties), based on both the acceleration index and the feedback effect of testing. Our acceleration-based allocation differs from the actual distribution over French territories, which is population-based. We argue that both our acceleration index and our allocation algorithm are useful tools to guide public health policies as France might possibly enter a third lock-down period with indeterminate duration.
机译：加速指数被提出为新颖的指标，以实时跟踪Covid-19的动态。使用数据关于法国的案件和测试，在第一个和第二次锁定 - 下降期 - 5月13日至10月25日，我们的加速指数表明，大流行重新疗程可以在7月7日左右开始。它揭示了大流行自9月初以来的[59-68]，特别是69岁及以上的年龄群体，后者与10月25日截至10月25日的最强劲加速指数有关。相比之下，[19-28] ]年龄组是最低的，大约是[69-78]的一半。此外，我们提出了一种算法，以基于加速指数和测试的反馈效果来分配法国“Départements”（大致县）之间的测试。我们基于加速的分配与法国地区的实际分布不同，这是基于人口的。我们认为我们的加速指数和我们的分配算法都是指导公共卫生政策的有用工具，因为法国可能在不确定的持续时间内进入第三个锁定期间。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号