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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of King Saud University >Incidence trends of breast cancer in Saudi Arabia: A joinpoint regression analysis (2004–2016)
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Incidence trends of breast cancer in Saudi Arabia: A joinpoint regression analysis (2004–2016)

机译：沙特阿拉伯乳腺癌发生率趋势：加入点回归分析（2004-2016）

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ObjectivesTo report the burden of breast cancer among Saudi females from 2004 to 2016.MethodsAge-standardised rates and cases according to age, year, region and stage at diagnosis were retrieved from the Saudi Cancer Registry (SCR). Descriptive statistics were reported before joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate the annual percent change (APC).ResultsDuring the study period, the number of breast cancer cases increased by 186% from 783 cases in 2004 to 2240 cases in 2016. The median age at diagnosis increased from 47 to 50?years (APC = + 0.7, 95% CI?=?0.5 to 0.9) and nearly 60% of cases were diagnosed among women aged ≥40?years. During the study period, the percentage of localised cases increased by 17% (APC = +5.1, 95% CI?=?8.7 to 3.3), along with a reduction in regional (APC?=??1.3, 95% CI?=??0.4 to ?4.9) and unknown (APC?=??6.5, 95% CI?=??12.0 to ?0.7) cases. The highest increases in breast cancer cases were recorded in Najran (APC = +8.8, 95% CI?=?0.7 to 17.5), followed by Qassim (APC = +6.9, 95% CI?=?2.4 to 11.6) and Hail (APC = +6, 95% CI?=?3.0 to 9.1). Makkah region reported the lowest significant increase with an APC of +2.3 (95% CI?=?0.3 to 4.4) per year.ConclusionAlthough an increasing trend in breast cancer cases were seen over the study period, encouraging outcomes were observed. An incidence shift towards the older age group was noticed, as well as an increased proportion of women diagnosed at early stages. A higher APC was seen in smaller regions, which highlights the need for region-based studies.
机译：ObjectiveSto从2004年到2016年向2016年报告沙特女性中乳腺癌的负担。从沙特克癌症登记处取出了根据年龄，年龄，区域和阶段的患者标准化的税率和病例。在Jointpoint回归分析之前报告了描述性统计分析，用于计算年度百分比变化（APC）。评估研究期间，乳腺癌病例的数量从2004年的783例增加了186％至2016年的2240例。中位年龄诊断从47增加到50〜50？年（APC = + 0.7,95％CI？= 0.5至0.9），近60％的病例被诊断为≥40岁的女性。在研究期间，本地化病例的百分比增加17％（APC = + 5.1,95％CI？=？8.7至3.3），以及区域（APC？= ?? 1.3,95％CI？= ?? 0.4至？4.9）和未知（APC？= ?? 6.5,95％CI？= ?? 12.0至？0.7）病例。在Najran（APC = +8.8,95％CI = 0.7至17.5）中记录乳腺癌病例的最高增加，其次是Qassim（APC = +6.9,95％CI？=？2.4至11.6）和冰雹（ APC = +6,95％CI？=？3.0至9.1）。 Makkah地区报告每年+ 2.3（95％CI？= 0.3至4.4）的APC报告最低的显着增加。虽然在研究期间看到了乳腺癌病例的增加趋势，但观察到令人鼓舞的结果。注意到较旧的年龄组的发病率转移，以及在早期阶段诊断的女性比例增加。在较小的区域中看到了更高的APC，突出了对基于区域的研究的需求。

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