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Multiperiod Mean Absolute Deviation Uncertain Portfolio Selection

机译:多级平均绝对偏差不确定产品组合选择

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Multiperiod portfolio selection problem attracts more and more attentions because it is in accordance with the practi- cal investment decision-making problem. However, the existing literature on this field is almost undertaken by regard- ing security returns as random variables in the framework of probability theory. Different from these works, we as- sume that security returns are uncertain variables which may be given by the experts, and take absolute deviation as a risk measure in the framework of uncertainty theory. In this paper, a new multiperiod mean absolute deviation uncer- tain portfolio selection models is presented by taking transaction costs, borrowing constraints and threshold con- straints into account, which an optimal investment policy can be generated to help investors not only achieve an opti- mal return, but also have a good risk control. Threshold constraints limit the amount of capital to be invested in each stock and prevent very small investments in any stock. Based on uncertain theories, the model is converted to a dy- namic optimization problem. Because of the transaction costs, the model is a dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. To solve the new model in general cases, the forward dynamic programming method is presented. In addition, a numerical example is also presented to illustrate the modeling idea and the effectiveness of the designed algorithm.
机译:多级投资组合选择问题吸引了越来越多的关注,因为它符合实践的投资决策问题。然而,该领域的现有文献几乎采取了在概率理论框架中作为随机变量作为随机变量进行的。与这些作品不同,我们的安全回报是专家可以给出的不确定变量,并将绝对偏差作为不确定理论框架中的风险措施。在本文中,通过采取交易成本,借款限制和阈值总结来提出了一种新的多级均值绝对偏差未经概述的投资组合选择模型,可以生成最佳的投资政策,以帮助投资者不仅实现优化 - 持久,但也有很好的风险控制。门槛限制限制每股股票投资的资本数量,防止任何股票的投资非常小。基于不确定的理论,该模型被转换为Dy-Namic优化问题。由于交易成本,该模型是路径依赖性的动态优化问题。要解决一般情况下的新模型,提出了前向动态编程方法。另外,还提出了一个数字示例以说明所设计算法的建模和有效性。

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