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Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Sequential Relevance Vector Machine

机译:基于顺序相关矢量机的短期负荷预测

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This paper proposes a dynamic short-term load forecasting method that utilizes a new sequential learning algorithm based on Relevance Vector Machine (RVM). The method performs general optimization of weights and hyperparame- ters using the current relevance vectors and newly arriving data. By doing so, the proposed algorithm is trained with the most recent data. Consequently, it extends the RVM algorithm to real-time and nonstationary learning processes. The results of application of the proposed algorithm to prediction of electrical loads indicate that its accuracy is com- parable to that of existing nonparametric learning algorithms. Further, the proposed model reduces computational complexity.
机译:本文提出了一种动态短期负荷预测方法,利用基于相关矢量机(RVM)的新顺序学习算法。 该方法使用当前相关矢量和新到达数据来执行权重和超级任务的一般优化。 通过这样做,所提出的算法受到最新数据的培训。 因此,它将RVM算法扩展到实时和非间断的学习过程。 所提出的算法应用于预测电负荷的结果表明其精度与现有的非参数学习算法相比。 此外,所提出的模型降低了计算复杂性。

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