Effects of U.S. Bilateral Trade with China on U.S. Economic Growth

Yongqing Wang

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Effects of U.S. Bilateral Trade with China on U.S. Economic Growth

机译：美国双边贸易与中国对美国经济增长的影响

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It is widely seen exports could promote growth, while imports may hinder growth. Thus, the huge amount of U.S. trade deficit with China causes some tension between these two countries. This study investigates the possible effects of U.S. exports to China and U.S. imports from China on U.S. growth in the long run. By applying Autoregressive Distributed Lags Model and employing annual data from 1985 to 2016, we are able to show that the effects of U.S. bilateral trade with China on U.S. growth are distinct from the effects of U.S. total exports and imports. Further, although U.S. exports to China do not affect U.S. growth in the long run, U.S. imports from China may actually promote U.S. growth in the long run.

机译：广泛看出，出口可能促进增长，进口可能阻碍增长。因此，大量的美国贸易逆差导致这两个国家之间的一些紧张局势。本研究调查了美国对中国和美国的可能影响。长期以来，从中国进口到中国。通过应用自动增加分布式滞后模型并从1985年到2016年雇用年度数据，我们能够表明美国双边贸易与中国的影响与美国的增长不同于美国出口总额和进口的影响。此外，虽然美国对中国的出口不影响美国的长期增长，但中国的进口实际上可能促进美国的增长。

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《International Business Research》 |2017年第8期|共6页
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Yongqing Wang;
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Effects of U.S. Bilateral Trade with China on U.S. Economic Growth

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