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Research on Economic Development Stage and Marginal Effects of Trade and FDI on Economic Growth in China

机译：经济发展阶段及贸易与外国直接投资对中国经济增长的影响研究

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摘要

Since reform and opening up. exports and FDI, as two main internationalization patterns, successfully promote China's economic growth and increase the per capita income. In the mean time, it widens the regional economic gap. Whether exports and FDI are still two engines to promote China’s economic growth in a new stage of development? This paper collects provincial panel data from 1987 to 2010 in China with three economic areas, the east, the middle, and the west, and divides them into two periods, before entry into WTO and after, to study the stage of economic development’s growth effect on trade and FDI empirically. It concludes that the developed eastern area’s exports have the strongest promotion effect on economy, but its promotion effect is weakening now and weaker than the imports’ promotion effect which is still increasing now, in the compared undeveloped mid and west of China. Furthermore, FDI’s growth effects on all the three economic areas are increasing. In a word, foreign trade and FDI’s growth effects change periodically in the different stages of development, so the policy mix of trade and FDI need to be adjusted with economic development.
机译：自改革开放以来。出口和外国直接投资，作为两种主要的国际化模式，成功地推动了中国的经济增长，增加了人均收入。同时，它扩大了区域经济差距。出口和外国直接投资仍然是两个发动机，以促进中国在新的发展阶段的经济增长吗？本文从1987年到2010年在中国收集省级小组数据，其中三个经济地区，东，中部和西部，并将其分为两个时期，进入WTO之前，研究经济发展的增长效果论贸易和外国直接投资经验。它的结论是，发展东部地区的出口具有最强的经济促进作用，但其促进效应现在疲软，而且比现在仍在增加的进口促销效果，在中国的未开发较不发达的发展中仍然增加。此外，外国直接投资对所有三个经济领域的增长效应正在增加。总之，对外贸易和外国直接投资的增长效果在不同的发展阶段定期发生变化，因此贸易和外国直接投资的政策组合需要调整经济发展。

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