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COVID, CITIES and CLIMATE: Historical Precedents and Potential Transitions for the New Economy

机译：Covid，城市和气候：历史先例和新经济潜力过渡

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The 2020 collapse of the global economy due to the Covid-19 pandemic has enabled us to think about long term trends and what the future could hold for our cities and regions, especially due to the climate agenda. The paper sets out the historical precedents for economic transitions after collapses that unleash new technologically based innovation waves. These are shown to be associated with different energy and infrastructure priorities and their transport and resulting urban forms. The new technologies in the past were emerging but mainstreamed as the new economy was built on new investments. The paper suggests that the new economy, for the next 30 years, is likely to be driven by the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) agendas (summarised as zero carbon–zero poverty) and will have a strong base in a cluster of innovative technologies: renewable energy, electromobility, smart cities, hydrogen-based industry, circular economy technologies, and biophilic urbanism. The first three are well underway, and the other three will need interventions if not cultural changes and may miss being mainstreamed in this recovery but could still play a minor role in the new economy. The resulting urban transformations are likely to build on Covid-19 through “global localism” and could lead to five new features: (1) relocalised centres with distributed infrastructure, (2) tailored innovations in each urban fabric, (3) less car dependence, (4) symbiotic partnerships for funding, and (5) rewritten manuals for urban professionals. This period needs human creativity to play a role in revitalising the human dimension of cities. The next wave following this may be more about regenerative development.
机译：2020年由于Covid-19大流行导致的全球经济的崩溃使我们能够考虑长期趋势以及未来可能对我们的城市和地区持有的内容，特别是由于气候议程为主。本文阐述了在释放新技术的创新波之后经济转型后的历史先例。这些被证明与不同的能源和基础设施优先事项及其运输相关，并导致城市形式。过去的新技术正在出现，但随着新的经济建立在新的投资上的主流。本文认为，新的经济，未来30年，可能是由巴黎协定和可持续发展目标（SDGS）议程（汇总为零碳零贫困）的推动，并将在一组中有一个强大的基础创新技术：可再生能源，电力，智能城市，氢气产业，循环经济技术和敌意的城市主义。前三名在进行中，另一个三个将需要干预措施，如果没有文化变化，可能会错过在这种复苏中被纳入主流，但仍然可能在新的经济中发挥着小的作用。由此产生的城市转型可能会通过“全球本地主义”来构建Covid-19，并可能导致五个新功能：（1）分布式基础设施的障碍中心，（2）在每个城市面料中量身定制的创新，（3）较少的汽车依赖（4）资助的共生伙伴关系，（5）城市专业人员的重写手册。这一时期需要人类创造力，在振兴城市的人类维度方面发挥作用。接下来的浪潮可能更多地有关再生发育。

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