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Regional changes in extreme monsoon rainfall deficit and excess in India

机译:印度极端季风降雨不足和过量的区域变化

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With increasing concerns about climate change, the need to understand the nature and variability of monsoon climatic conditions and to evaluate possible future changes becomes increasingly important. This paper deals with the changes in frequency and magnitudes of extreme monsoon rainfall deficiency and excess in India from 1871 to 2005. Five regions across India comprising variable climates were selected for the study. Apart from changes in individual regions, changing tendencies in extreme monsoon rainfall deficit and excess were also determined for the Indian region as a whole. The trends and their significance were assessed using non-parametric Mann-Kendall technique. The results show that intra-region variability for extreme monsoon seasonal precipitation is large and mostly exhibited a negative tendency leading to increasing frequency and magnitude of monsoon rainfall deficit and decreasing frequency and magnitude of monsoon rainfall excess.
机译:随着人们对气候变化的日益关注,了解季风气候条件的性质和多变性以及评估未来可能变化的需求变得越来越重要。本文讨论了从1871年到2005年印度极端季风降雨缺乏和过量的频率和大小的变化。研究选择了印度五个地区,其中包括气候变化。除了个别地区的变化之外,整个印度地区的季风极端降雨赤字和过量趋势也已确定。使用非参数Mann-Kendall技术评估了趋势及其意义。结果表明,季风极端季节性降水的区域内变异性较大,且大多呈现出负向趋势,导致季风降水赤字的频率和幅度增加,季风降水过剩的频率和幅度减小。

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