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Major Earthquakes in and Around Yunnan Province and Variations of Astronomical Time-Latitude Residuals Determined by Yunnan Observatory

机译：云南省及周边地区重大地震与云南天文台确定的天文时纬残差变化

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摘要

In this paper, the features of medium-term anomalies for strong earthquakes and the criteria for the prediction of such earthquakes are discussed, as well as the feasibility of applying the anomalies of astronomical time-latitude residuals to earthquake prediction and their limitation when applied to imminent-term prediction. The criteria used to identify the anomalies of time-latitude residuals for M ≥ 6.0 earthquakes in Yunnan Province and for M ≥ 7.0 earthquakes around Yunnan are also discussed. The last strong earthquake in the data used for testing passed the whole process of earthquake prediction practice. In addition, some special features of the case in which anomalies appeared but no strong earthquake followed are also discussed.
机译：本文讨论了强震中期异常的特征和预报标准，讨论了将天经时空残差异常应用于地震预报的可行性及其在地震预报中的局限性。即将发生的预测。还讨论了用于确定云南M≥6.0地震和云南周围M≥7.0地震的时间纬度残差异常的标准。用于测试的数据中的最后一次强地震通过了地震预测实践的整个过程。此外，还讨论了异常出现但没有发生强烈地震的情况的一些特殊特征。

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