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Economic prospect on carbon emissions in Commonwealth of Independent States

机译：独立国家联合体碳排放的经济前景

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This paper measures the ecological performance and reference carbon taxes of 12 Commonwealth of Independent States between 1993 and 2008. I adapted an ecologist's model into widely used non-parametric directional distance functions approach. On average, countries perform fairly well: eco-efficiency is around 87 %. Enhancing energy consumption would lead to further reductions in CO_2 emissions. I find that there was a relative decoupling of GDP from emissions growth. The estimated shadow price of carbon (mean of US$74.37/tCO_2) is reasonable and falls into a range proposed by climate scientists. The richer countries had lower shadow prices with smaller range compared to less affluent ones. Overall, given decoupling, the introduction of revenue-neutral carbon tax could have certain merits.
机译：本文测量了1993年至2008年12个独立国家联合体的生态绩效和参考碳税。我将生态学家模型应用于广泛使用的非参数方向距离函数方法。平均而言，国家/地区表现良好：生态效率约为87％。能源消耗的增加将导致二氧化碳的进一步减少。我发现GDP与排放增长之间存在相对脱钩。估计的碳影子价格（平均74.37美元/吨CO_2）是合理的，并且处于气候科学家提出的范围内。与富裕国家相比，较富裕国家的影子价格较低，幅度较小。总体而言，考虑到脱钩，实行税收中立的碳税可能有一定的优点。

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