A SPATIAL PERSPECTIVE ON EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: HETEROGENEOUS WELFARE AND MIGRATION EFFECTS FROM THE SINGLE MARKET AND THE BREXIT

Henkel Marcel; Seidel Tobias

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A SPATIAL PERSPECTIVE ON EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: HETEROGENEOUS WELFARE AND MIGRATION EFFECTS FROM THE SINGLE MARKET AND THE BREXIT

机译：欧洲一体化的空间视角：来自单一市场和英国脱欧的异质性福利和移民影响

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We use a quantitative model to study the implications of European integration for welfare and net migration flows across 1,280 European regions. The model suggests that an increase of trade barriers to the level of 1957 reduces welfare by about 5%-8% on average, depending on the presumed trade elasticity. However, remote regions may face initial welfare losses of up to 10%. These heterogeneous welfare effects cause estimated net migration of 1.9% of the population to the European geographic center implying that the dismantling of trade barriers in Europe has led to a more homogeneous spatial distribution of economic activity. With regard to the Brexit, we find moderate welfare losses for the United Kingdom of 1.05% in the most pessimistic scenario while continental Europe's welfare declines by 0.41%. (JEL F15, R12, R13, R23)

机译：我们使用定量模型来研究欧洲一体化对1,280个欧洲地区的福利和净移民流动的影响。该模型表明，根据假定的贸易弹性，将贸易壁垒提高到1957年的水平会使福利平均降低约5％-8％。但是，边远地区可能面临高达10％的初始福利损失。这些不同的福利影响导致估计有1.9％的人口净迁移到欧洲地理中心，这意味着欧洲贸易壁垒的解除导致经济活动的空间分布更加均匀。关于英国脱欧，在最悲观的情况下，我们发现英国的福利损失为1.05％，而欧洲大陆的福利下降了0.41％。（JEL F15，R12，R13，R23）

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《Economic inquiry》 |2019年第1期|333-352|共20页
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Henkel Marcel; Seidel Tobias;
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Univ Duisburg Essen, Mercator Sch Management, D-47057 Duisburg, Germany;

Univ Duisburg Essen, Mercator Sch Management, D-47057 Duisburg, Germany;

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A SPATIAL PERSPECTIVE ON EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: HETEROGENEOUS WELFARE AND MIGRATION EFFECTS FROM THE SINGLE MARKET AND THE BREXIT

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