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Worker remittances, migration, accumulation and growth in poor developing countries: Survey and analysis of direct and indirect effects

机译：贫穷发展中国家的工人汇款，移民，积累和增长：直接和间接影响的调查和分析

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摘要

A broad but brief survey of the literature on remittances and growth shows that indirect effects are only in cluded via interaction terms. Then, we regress data for migration, worker remittances, savings, investment, tax revenues, public expenditure on education, interest rates, literacy, labor force growth, development aid and GDP per capita growth on migration, remittances and other variables for a panel of countries with in come below $1200. The estimated dynamic equations are integrated to a system used for baseline simula tions. Comparison with the counterfactual policy simulations 'only 50% remittances' or 'no net migration anymore' shows that the total effect of remittances on levels and growth rates of GDP per capita, investment and literacy are positive, and that of net migration is negative for literacy and investment but positive for growth.
机译：对汇款和增长的文献进行了广泛而简短的调查，结果表明，间接影响仅通过相互作用来排除。然后，我们对移民，移民的汇款，储蓄，投资，税收，公共教育支出，利率，识字率，劳动力增长，发展援助和人均GDP的回归数据进行了回归，其中汇款和其他变量低于$ 1200的国家/地区。估计的动态方程式被集成到用于基线模拟的系统中。与反事实政策模拟“仅50％的汇款”或“不再有净迁移”的比较表明，汇款对人均GDP，投资和识字率的水平和增长率的总影响为正，而净迁移的负影响为识字和投资，但对增长有积极作用。

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