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What is the chance of Yuan revaluation?

机译:人民币升值的机会是多少?

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摘要

From a Chinese perspective, chances of any change in the Yuan exchange rate look pretty slim. If you were an official in Beijing, would you stick your neck out even recommending this idea? If the status quo looks fairly acceptable, and it is 'stability oriented' (a very Chinese preference), why go rocking the boat? You certainly do not make any changes just because Japan or the US tell you to. And financial markets are not that persuasive - after all they wanted a devaluation only a short while ago. In this article, Vanessa Rossi and Simon Knapp assess the likelihood of a Yuan revaluation and its implications for the economic outlook.
机译:从中国人的角度看,人民币汇率发生任何变化的可能性似乎很小。如果您是北京的官员,那么即使您推荐这个想法,您也会伸出脖子吗?如果现状看起来是可以接受的,并且它是“以稳定为导向”的(中国人非常喜欢),那为什么还要摇摆不定?您当然不会仅仅因为日本或美国告诉您而进行任何更改。金融市场并不那么具有说服力-毕竟,他们只是在不久前才想让人民币贬值。 Vanessa Rossi和Simon Knapp在本文中评估人民币升值的可能性及其对经济前景的影响。

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