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Fast food prices, obesity, and the minimum wage

机译：快餐价格，肥胖和最低工资

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摘要

Recent proposals argue that a fast food tax may be an effective policy lever for reducing population weight. Although there is growing evidence for a negative association between fast food prices and weight among adolescents, less is known about adults. That any measured relationship to date is causal is unclear because there has been no attempt to separate variation in prices on the demand side from that on the supply side. We argue that the minimum wage is an exogenous source of variation in fast food prices, conditional on income and employment. In two-stage least-squares analyses, we find little evidence that fast food price changes affect adult BMI or obesity prevalence. Results are robust to including controls for area and time fixed effects, area time trends, demographic characteristics, substitute prices, numbers of establishments and employment in related industries, and other potentially related factors.
机译：最近的提议认为，快餐税可能是减轻人口体重的有效政策手段。尽管越来越多的证据表明青少年之间快餐价格和体重之间存在负相关关系，但对成年人的了解却很少。到目前为止，是否有任何可衡量的因果关系尚不清楚，因为没有尝试将需求侧的价格变动与供给侧的价格变动分开。我们认为最低工资是快餐价格变化的外在根源，取决于收入和就业情况。在两阶段最小二乘分析中，我们发现很少有证据表明快餐价格的变化会影响成年人的BMI或肥胖率。结果强大，可以包括对面积和时间固定影响，面积时间趋势，人口特征，替代价格，相关行业的机构和就业人数以及其他潜在相关因素的控制。

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