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Corruption, conflict and the management of natural resources

机译:腐败,冲突与自然资源管理

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摘要

The documented link between natural resources and civil conflict is not well understood. This paper uses a political economy framework to explore the prevalence of resource-based civil conflict driven by group-level discontent. The theoretical model proposed here offers a policy-based explanation: under conditions related to the quality of governance, discontent about resource management can affect the likelihood of an insurgency. Resource policy arises endogenously as the corrupt government trades-off industry contributions and the cost induced by manifestations of resource-related discontent. The conservation effects of civil unrest are analyzed and government corruption emerges as an important determinant of conflict. The paper also presents some empirical support for the model's predictions.
机译:自然资源与内乱之间的文献记载联系尚不十分清楚。本文使用政治经济学框架来探讨由群体层面的不满情绪驱动的基于资源的内战的普遍性。这里提出的理论模型提供了基于政策的解释:在与治理质量相关的条件下,对资源管理的不满会影响叛乱的可能性。资源政策是内生的,因为腐败的政府需要权衡行业贡献和因资源相关的不满表现而导致的成本。分析了内乱的保护作用,政府腐败成为冲突的重要决定因素。本文还为模型的预测提供了一些经验支持。

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