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How much is too much?

机译:多少是太多了?

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AMERICA'S ECONOMY will recover faster from the pandemic than its rich-world peers, the imf predicts. Not because it has controlled the spread of disease-it hasn't-but mostly because of its enormous economic stimulus, which boosted household incomes by more than 6% in 2020 even as the unemployment rate peaked near 15%. Before Joe Biden became president, Congress had already spent $4trn fighting the crisis. Now he proposes $1.9trn more emergency spending, which would take the total to over 25% of GDP in 2019. Republicans think that is too much. A group of the party's senators has made a counteroffer of a plan worth about $600bn (see United States section). The right size for the bill is not best judged from the top down. America is not in a normal recession that is best solved by a calibrated slug of government spending. No amount of pump-priming will fully reopen restaurants, nightclubs and offices while the virus remains prevalent-nor would that be desirable. The government must instead fight the crisis from the bottom up.
机译:国际货币基金组织预测,美国的经济将从大流行恢复得比丰富的世界同行更快。不是因为它控制了疾病的传播 - 它没有 - 但主要是因为其巨大的经济刺激,即使在2020年的失业率达到15%的失业率达到达到的失业率,这是一个超过6%的家庭收入。在Joe Biden成为总统之前,国会已经花了4亿美元的危机。现在他提出了1.9亿美元的紧急支出,这将在2019年以超过25%的GDP占GDP的总额。共和党人认为这太多了。一群党的参议员已经对价值约600亿美元的计划进行了符合权(参见美国部分)。条例草案的正确规模不是最佳从自上而下判断。美国不在正常经济衰退中,通过校准的政府支出最好解决。在病毒仍然是普遍存在的同时,没有泵浦喷射量将完全重新打开餐馆,夜总会和办公室 - 也不是可取的。政府必须反而使危机与自下而上。

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    《The economist》 |2021年第9231期|共1页
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