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The mountaineers

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THE BIGGEST commodity story of 2020 was one of decline. As the coronavirus pandemic halted travel, oil prices fell off a cliff, then briefly went subterranean: in April a futures contract for West Texas Intermediate was worth less than nothing. Oil began clawing its way above $45 a barrel in November, supported by optimism about vaccines. For other commodities, however, 2020 was not all bad. Indeed the year may have marked the start of an extraordinary ascent. In August gold passed $2,000 an ounce for the first time ever, as low interest rates made the precious metal more attractive. The value of other commodities rose, too, not just from the depths of virus-induced lockdowns in April but from the start of 2020, before the pandemic began (see chart). Commodity assets under management reached a record $640bn in December, estimates Citigroup, a bank, representing an annual gain of nearly a quarter. By January 11th even the oil-heavy S&P GSCI commodity index had reached the level of a year ago. The debate now is how quickly oil prices will recover, and how high other commodities may soar.
机译:2020年最大的商品故事是下降之一。随着冠状病毒流行的旅行,油价从悬崖上掉下来,然后短暂地走了下船:4月份西德克萨斯中级的期货合约值得不到什么。 11月,石油开始抓住其高于45美元的桶,乐观地支持疫苗。然而,对于其他商品,2020年并不糟糕。事实上,一年可能标志着非凡的上升的开始。由于低利率使得贵金属更具吸引力,8月份金币首次通过了2000美元的一盎司。其他商品的价值也不仅仅是四月的病毒引起的锁定深度,而且从2020年开始,在大流行开始之前(见图)。管理层的商品资产于12月达到640亿美元,估计花旗集团,银行,一家银行,代表近一季度的年增长。到1月11日,即使是石油重型标准普尔GSCI商品指数也达到了一年前的水平。现在的辩论是油价如何恢复速度,以及其他商品可能飙升的高度。

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    《The economist》 |2021年第9228期|共2页
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