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On the dragon's tail

机译:在龙的尾巴上

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In recent weeks economists at Goldman Sachs, the World Bank and the imp have forecast India's economy will grow a bit faster than China's within a year or two. The day came sooner than they expected. Figures released on February 9th showed that India's GDP rose by 7.5% year on year in the fourth quarter of 2014, a shade faster than China's. The strength of China's economy is often disputed. Now it is India's turn to have its numbers questioned. The data were foreshadowed on January 30th when India's Central Statistics Office (CSO) released revised estimates of GDP as part of an exercise known as "re-basing". GDP is typically measured by reference to the prices and structure of the economy in a base year. Over time this snapshot becomes less relevant, and the GDP figures less accurate, so the base year is updated every few years. The cso changed India's from 2004-05 to 2011-12. On the new reckoning, GDP growth for 2013-14 was revised up from 4.7% to 6.9%.
机译:最近几周,高盛,世界银行和进出口商的经济学家都预测印度的经济增长将在一两年内比中国快一点。这一天比他们预期的要早。 2月9日发布的数据显示,2014年第四季度印度的GDP同比增长7.5%,快于中国。中国经济实力经常引起争议。现在该轮到印度质疑其数字了。 1月30日,印度中央统计局(CSO)发布了修订后的GDP估算值,以此作为“重新定基”活动的一部分,预示了这些数据。 GDP通常是参考基准年的价格和经济结构来衡量的。随着时间的流逝,此快照变得不那么重要,GDP数据的准确性也越来越差,因此基准年每隔几年更新一次。 cso将印度的2004年更改为2011-12年。根据新的估算,2013-14年度GDP增长从4.7%上调至6.9%。

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    《The economist》 |2015年第8925期|66-66|共1页
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