The presidential election on May 10th will set the tone for Poland's general election this autumn. It has been dominated by the long-standing rivalry between the centre-right Civic Platform (po), which has held power since 2007, and the conservative Law and Justice party (pis) that it defeated. The po-backed incumbent, Bronis-law Komorowski, is the most likely winner. But his ratings have dipped to 40%, making it more probable that he will need to win a second-round run-off in two weeks' time against the pis candidate, Andrzej Duda, who is below 30%.
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