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Too smart by half?

机译:太聪明了一半?

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When Russia annexed Crimea in March, Western leaders hoped that carefully crafted "smart" financial sanctions, directed at Vladimir Putin's inner circle, plus some old-fashioned embargoes, for instance of high-tech equipment, might persuade him not to invade eastern Ukraine. Or at least, given that they had no stomach for stronger options, they said that was their hope. Either way, the response has so far been in vain. Sanctions have hurt the Russian economy, but they have had no discernible effect on Mr Putin's military strategy. Instead, Russia has imposed counter-sanctions of its own, halting food imports and closing local branches ot McDonald's, ostensibly on public-health grounds. The European Union has been the weak link in the West's response. It is a much more important trading partner for Russia than America is. This gives it more potential leverage, but the higher level of trade means some members' economies are very closely intertwined with Russia's-making it hard to reach the unanimous decisions necessary for sanctions to be imposed. The eu stance toughened after pro-Russian forces in eastern Ukraine shot down a Malaysian airliner in July. More individuals were targeted and new measures deprived Russian state-owned banks of their access to long-term financing in Europe's capital markets. This has led some of those banks to tap central-bank reserves in order to plug funding gaps.
机译:当俄罗斯在3月吞并克里米亚时,西方领导人希望针对弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)内心圈精心设计的“明智”金融制裁,以及一些老式的禁运措施,例如高科技设备,可能会说服他不要入侵乌克兰东部。或者至少,鉴于他们没有胃口寻求更多选择,他们说这是他们的希望。无论哪种方式,迄今为止的反应都是徒劳的。制裁损害了俄罗斯经济,但对普京的军事战略没有明显影响。相反,俄罗斯表面上出于公共卫生的考虑,对自己实施了反制裁,停止了食品进口并关闭了麦当劳当地分支机构。欧盟一直是西方反应中的薄弱环节。与美国相比,它是俄罗斯重要的贸易伙伴。这给了它更大的潜在杠杆作用,但是更高的贸易水平意味着一些成员国的经济与俄罗斯非常紧密地交织在一起,这使得难以达成实施制裁所必需的一致决定。在乌克兰东部的亲俄部队于7月击落了一架马来西亚客机后,欧盟的立场进一步加强。越来越多的人成为目标,新措施使俄罗斯国有银行无法在欧洲资本市场上获得长期融资。这导致其中一些银行利用中央银行储备金来填补资金缺口。

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    《The economist》 |2014年第8903期|27-28|共2页
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