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Buttonwood Squaring the triangle

机译:三角扣眼

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Throughout 2010 financial markets have reflected a strange confluence of views. Government-bond yields have been low (outside peripheral Europe), indicating that investors are expecting low inflation and slow economic growth. But gold, an inflation hedge, has risen steadily, while American equities, a play on growth, have performed well. This threefold combination cannot last for ever. That it has persisted for so long is probably down to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (qe), which gave comfort to bulls in all three asset classes. The gold bugs saw qe as inflationary, equity enthusiasts saw the tactic as boosting growth and the bond markets had the comfort that the Fed would be the "buyer of last resort" for Treasuries.
机译:在整个2010年,金融市场反映出一种奇怪的观点融合。政府债券的收益率一直很低(在欧洲外围国家以外),这表明投资者期望通胀率较低且经济增长缓慢。但是,作为通货膨胀对冲的黄金一直在稳步上升,而作为增长动力的美国股票则表现良好。这种三重组合不可能永远持续下去。这种持续时间如此之久可能归结于美联储的量化宽松政策,这给所有三种资产类别的多头提供了安慰。黄金专家认为量化宽松是通货膨胀的,股票狂热者认为这种策略是促进增长的,债券市场感到欣慰的是,美联储将成为美国国债的“最后购买者”。

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    《The economist》 |2010年第8713期|p.132|共1页
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