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Mervyn's sombre message

机译：默文的黑暗讯息

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Gripped by inflationary fears, financial markets have spun around full circle in recent weeks. In early May they were expecting the Bank of England to cut interest rates again later this year in order to avert too sharp a slowdown. By mid-June they were expecting the central bank to push up rates to curb price pressures.rnOn June 17th official figures revealed that inflation in the year to May was even higher than the City had predicted. Consumer prices rose by 3.3%, compared with the consensus forecast of 3.2% and up from 3.0% in April. Yet by the end of the day interest-rate expectations had eased.rnWhat made the difference was the public letter that Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, wrote that day to the Treasury. He was obliged to do this because consumer-price inflation had moved more than a percentage point away from the 2.0% target that the central bank is charged to meet. City traders swiftly decoded the governor's message as doveish.
机译：最近几周，由于受到通货膨胀的担忧困扰，金融市场已经全面旋转。他们预计在5月初，英格兰银行将在今年晚些时候再次降息，以免经济增长过快。他们预计到6月中旬，央行将提高利率以遏制价格压力。6月17日，官方数据显示，截至5月的一年的通货膨胀率甚至高于纽约市的预期。消费者价格上涨3.3％，而市场普遍预期为3.2％，高于4月份的3.0％。然而到了一天结束时，利率预期已经放宽了。造成不同的是，英格兰银行行长默文·金当天写给财政部的公开信。他之所以必须这样做，是因为消费者物价通胀率已经偏离了中央银行要达到的2.0％的目标，超出了一个百分点。城市商人迅速将州长的信息解读为鸽派。

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    《The economist》 |2008年第8585期|48|共1页
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