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Ticking time bomb

机译:滴答定时炸弹

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Optimists, look away now. Prices in America's housing market may have slumped, but the pain for a significant subset of homeowners has barely begun. Even at Barclays Capital, which spotted some of the improvements mentioned in the previous story, there is still concern. The bank's Nicholas Strand says that roughly 1.4m households, most of them in California, hold a particularly nasty type of adjustable-rate mortgage called the "option arm". Although the overall value of option arms is lower than that of subprime loans-some $500 billion, according to Mr Strand, compared with about $1 trillion in subprime loans- their sting is more venomous.rnThe option arm allows borrowers to pay less interest than the formal rate for a limited period (the vast majority of customers choose this option). In return, the unpaid interest is added to the original loan, a process soothingly called "negative amortisation". While house prices are rising, the product just about makes sense. If borrowers do get into trouble when they start paying off the loan in full, higher property values offer some wiggle-room. But when house prices are falling and refinancing is difficult, as is now the case, the option arm is the financial equivalent of a bikini in winter. Homeowners end up owing more on a property that is worth less.
机译:乐观主义者,现在移开视线。美国住房市场的价格可能已经暴跌,但是对于大部分房屋所有者的痛苦才刚刚开始。即使在巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)发现了上一个故事中提到的一些改进之处,仍然存在担忧。该银行的尼古拉斯·斯特兰德(Nicholas Strand)表示,大约有140万个家庭,其中大多数在加利福尼亚州,拥有一种特别讨厌的可调利率抵押贷款,称为“选择权”。斯特兰德说,尽管期权部门的总价值低于次级贷款的总价值(约5000亿美元),而次级抵押贷款的总价值却约为1万亿美元,但它们的毒害更大。rn期权部门允许借款人支付的利息少于抵押贷款。有限期间内的正式费率(绝大多数客户选择此选项)。作为回报,未付利息被添加到原始贷款中,这一过程被称为“负摊销”。在房价上涨的同时,该产品也很有道理。如果借款人在开始全额还清贷款时确实遇到麻烦,那么较高的房地产价格会提供一些回旋余地。但是,当房价下跌且融资困难时(如现在),期权部门的财务状况相当于冬天的比基尼。房主最终会因少花些钱而欠下更多财产。

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    《The economist》 |2008年第8593期|69|共1页
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