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Who's next?

机译:谁是下一个?

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摘要

Will an ex-communist country be the next Iceland? The dramatic collapse of that country's economy, endangering savings from hapless depositors in Britain and elsewhere, has highlighted other risky but obscure corners of the world's financial system. The stability of the Ukrainian hryvnia, the implications of the Latvian property crash and Hungarians' troubling penchant for loans in Swiss francs are among the exotic topics now crowding policymakers' desks.rnCountries such as the ex-communist ones in eastern Europe are particularly at risk during periods of financial turmoil. First, because the counterpart of soaring foreign investment has been gaping current-account deficits (Latvia's, for example, peaked at 26% of gdp in the third quarter of last year). Second, their central banks and governments are unlikely to be able to muster the financial firepower now being deployed in the big economies of the West. Already a couple of banks have toppled;rnstockmarkets have plunged, wiping out years of savings and hitting balance-sheets.
机译:前共产主义国家会成为下一个冰岛吗?该国经济的急剧崩溃,危及英国和其他地区不幸的储户的储蓄,这凸显了世界金融体系的其他风险但模糊的角落。乌克兰格里夫纳汇率的稳定,拉脱维亚财产崩溃的影响以及匈牙利人对瑞士法郎贷款的不安倾向等问题如今已成为决策者们讨论的话题。东欧前共产主义国家等国家尤其处于危险之中在金融动荡时期。首先,因为外国投资激增的对应国一直在弥补经常账户赤字(例如,拉脱维亚的赤字在去年第三季度达到GDP的26%的峰值)。其次,它们的中央银行和政府不太可能吸引现在部署在西方大经济体中的金融火力。已经有几家银行倒闭;股票市场暴跌,抹去了多年的积蓄,破坏了资产负债表。

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    《The economist》 |2008年第8603期|33-3436|共3页
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