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The hazards of a long, hard freeze

机译：长时间坚硬冻结的危害

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Tf the so-called frozen conflicts of the Black Sea region are ever thawed out, somebody will need to be standing by with a very large bucket indeed. To outsiders, that may seem like an odd warning: unless you have a special interest in the obscure enclaves of small, impoverished states, where local feuds have flared up and died down, a frozen conflict may sound like a conflict you can forget. But such a conclusion would be wrong: the region's unresolved wars-in Transdniestria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Nagorno-Karabakh-are a big reason why the newly independent states of the former Soviet south have failed miserably to fulfil their potential. Instead of enjoying their freedom, they have emerged into the world as stunted, embittered and ill-governed creatures. And if real fighting flares again-a process which has begun in South Ossetia (see box)-things could become far worse.
机译：一旦所谓的黑海地区冰冻的冲突被化解，确实有人需要用很大的水桶站着。对于局外人来说，这似乎是个奇怪的警告：除非您对贫困的小邦的飞地特别感兴趣，因为那里的地方争端已经爆发并消亡，一场冰冻的冲突听起来像是您可以忘记的冲突。但是这样的结论是错误的：该地区尚未解决的战争-在德涅斯特河，阿布哈兹，南奥塞梯和纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫-是前苏维埃南部新独立的国家惨遭失败以发挥其潜力的重要原因。他们没有享受自由，而是以发育迟缓，痛苦不堪和管理不善的生物出现在世界上。而且，如果真正的战斗爆发了（南奥塞梯已经开始这一过程）（见方框），情况可能会变得更糟。

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