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Economics focus

机译：经济学重点

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摘要

Talk is cheap, but money speaks the truth. That might be the credo behind the recent, rapid rise in the use of novel markets to forecast everything from political events to business successes and failures. During America's recent presidential election, bets on the Iowa Electronic Market, based at the University of Iowa, and on online exchanges such as www.tradesports.com and www.betfair.com were watched almost as keenly as opinion polls. These and other markets have in recent years been used to forecast almost everything from the fate of Saddam Hussein to the outcome of celebrity trials and the box-office takings of films on their opening weekends.
机译：谈话很便宜，但是金钱说实话。这可能是最近使用新颖市场迅速预测从政治事件到企业成败的一切背后的信条。在美国最近的总统大选期间，人们对爱荷华州大学的爱荷华州电子市场以及www.tradesports.com和www.betfair.com等在线交易的押注几乎与民意调查一样强烈。近年来，这些市场和其他市场已用于预测几乎所有事情，从萨达姆·侯赛因（Saddam Hussein）的命运到名人审判的结果以及在其开幕周末的电影票房收入。

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