Still in gear?

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Still in gear?

机译：还在运转吗？

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The global bond market boom has come to an abrupt end. Over the past month yields on American Treasury bonds have risen more sharply than for 20 years. After hitting a ten-year low of 3.1% in mid-June, ten-year bond yields hit 4.5% on July 31st, before easing slightly. Bond yields in Europe and Japan have also risen, but by a more modest half of a percentage point (see chart). This could be a healthy sign: higher yields might reflect growing confidence that the global recovery is now well under way. Yet it could equally be a cause for concern: higher borrowing costs could cause the recovery to grind to a halt.

机译：全球债券市场的繁荣已经结束。在过去的一个月中，美国国债收益率的上涨幅度超过20年。在6月中旬触及十年低点3.1％之后，十年期国债收益率在7月31日触及4.5％，随后略有回落。欧洲和日本的债券收益率也有所上升，但上升幅度仅为一个百分点（见图）。这可能是一个健康的信号：单产提高可能反映出人们对全球复苏正在进行的信心增强。然而，这同样可能令人担忧：借贷成本上升可能导致复苏步履蹒跚。

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《The economist》 |2003年第8336期|p.63-64|共2页
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中图分类经济;各科经济学;
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