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The widest-ever choice

机译：有史以来最广泛的选择

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Pity the opinion pollsters as France goes to the ballot box on April 21st to begin choosing its next president. When there are 16 candidates, compared with a previous record of 12 in the 1974 election, when getting on for two-fifths of the voters say they will decide only at the last minute and when quite a few people probably lie anyway (not everyone admits to being a neo-fascist in a door-step interview), sounding out opinions can hardly be an exact science. Will Arlette Laguiller really get 8% or more with her message of Trots-kyite revolution? Will Jean-Marie Le Pen, with his extreme xenophobia, really come close to the 15% he won last time, in 1995? But pity the two front-runners too. For months, the conservative incumbent president, Jacques Chirac, and the Socialist prime minister, Lionel Jospin, have been neck-and-neck in the polls, not just for this weekend's first round of voting but also for the run-off between the top two on May 5th. Not so long ago, it was Mr Jospin who seemed to have the edge; just lately it has been Mr Chirac. But, though Mr Chirac now "senses" he will win a second term, neither man can be at all certain: the gap has remained stubbornly within any sensible pollster's margin of error.
机译：可惜当法国于4月21日进入投票箱开始选举下一任总统时，民意测验者对此感到沮丧。当有16名候选人时，与1974年大选时的先前记录相比，当有五分之二的选民说他们只会在最后一刻做出决定并且无论如何有很多人撒谎时，选民才有投票权（并非所有人都承认）成为在现场采访中成为新法西斯主义者的人），发表意见很难成为一门精确的科学。 Arlette Laguiller用Trots-kyite革命的讯息真的能获得8％或更多的收益吗？让-玛丽·勒庞（Jean-Marie Le Pen）的极端仇外心理真的能接近他上一次在1995年赢得的15％的奖金吗？但是也同情两位领跑者。几个月来，保守派现任总统雅克·希拉克（Jacques Chirac）和社会主义总理莱昂内尔·乔斯平（Lionel Jospin）在民意测验中并驾齐驱，不仅是在本周末的第一轮投票中，也是在高层人士之间的投票2月5日。不久前，乔斯潘先生似乎有优势。最近是希拉克先生。但是，尽管希拉克先生现在“感觉”到他将连任第二届，但没有人能完全确定：在任何明智的民意测验者的误差范围之内，差距仍然顽固存在。

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