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Unemployment Flawed figures

机译:失业缺陷者

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Were all those groans about an Ameri-can recession a false alarm? After falling sharply for several months, the Conference Board's consumer-confidence index unexpectedly jumped in March. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of gdp; so, if households remain relatively confident, a recession is unlikely. But monthly changes in consumer confidence have often been unreliable leading indicators of spending. Moreover, the main reason given for the rebound in confidence is that unemployment still remains low. That may not last.
机译:所有关于美国经济衰退的吟都是错误的警报吗?在连续几个月的大幅下跌之后,会议委员会的消费者信心指数在3月份意外上升。消费者支出占国内生产总值的三分之二;因此,如果家庭保持相对的信心,则不太可能出现衰退。但是,消费者信心的每月变化通常是不可靠的支出主要指标。此外,信心回升的主要原因是失业率仍然很低。那可能不会持续下去。

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