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Test-driving a new model

机译：试驾新车型

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These have not been good times for those highly paid folk who forecast currency movements. At the start of last year, almost all of them predicted that the euro would climb against the dollar, and that the yen and the pound would slide. And what happened? The opposite: the euro fell sharply against the dollar, and the yen and the pound have risen. Traditional models used to forecast currencies seem to have developed a serious fault. Having seen their old bangers break down, some forecasters are turning to newer models. Fancier they may be, but will they prove any more reliable?
机译：对于那些预测货币走势的高薪人士来说，现在不是好时机。去年初，几乎所有人都预测欧元兑美元将攀升，日元和英镑将下滑。发生什么事？相反：欧元兑美元大幅下跌，日元和英镑上涨。用于预测货币的传统模型似乎已经出现了严重的缺陷。看到他们的旧式炸弹爆炸后，一些预报员正在转向较新的型​​号。他们可能会更时尚，但是会证明它们更可靠吗？

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