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When Do Times of Increasing Uncertainty Call for Centralized Harmonization in International Policy Coordination?

机译:不确定性不断增加的时代什么时候需要国际政策协调中的集中统一?

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摘要

Under what conditions do times of increasing uncertainty, such as the ongoing global turmoil, call for international policy harmonization? We shed light on this question by developing a model of interjurisdictional policy coordination taking place under incomplete information and featuring uncertainty about jurisdictions' politico-economic fundamentals. We show how the effect of an increase in uncertainty on the desirability of policy harmonization varies with the pattern of asymmetries in jurisdictions' scale, mutual influence, and magnitude of the increase in uncertainty. Our analysis suggests that the case for policy harmonization as a governance response to growing uncertainty is not compelling.
机译:在什么情况下(例如不断发生的全球动荡)不确定性不断增加的时代要求进行国际政策协调?我们通过建立一种在不完全的信息下进行的,跨管辖区政策协调的模型来阐明这个问题,该模型具有对管辖区的政治经济基本面的不确定性。我们展示了不确定性增加对政策统一性的影响如何随司法管辖区规模不对称模式,相互影响以及不确定性增加的幅度而变化。我们的分析表明,将政策协调作为应对日益增长的不确定性的治理措施的理由并不令人信服。

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