Industry 4.0-the future of Austrian jobs

Haiss Peter; Mahlberg Bernhard; Michlits Daniel

摘要

What are the socio-economic effects of the widespread introduction of robots, algorithms and digital technologies like artificial intelligence and machine learning? Following Frey and Osborne (London futures agiletown : the relentless march of technology and London's response. Deloitte, 2014, Technol Forecast Social Change 114(C), 254-280, 2017, ) we apply the computerization probabilities to occupations in Austria. We conclude that about 40% of the Austrian workforce is active in occupations that are very likely to undergo substantial changes regarding task structure, skill requirement and working environment in the future, causing challenges and opportunities. We also provide evidence that compared to men, women in Austria seem more likely to be affected by technological changes, with sectoral orientation playing a role. Following EBRD (Skills, employment and automation. Chapter 2 in: EBRD (2018): Transition Report 2018-19, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, London, 2018),we see a broader move towards job polarization. We see this as distributive consequences of technological change and argue that the consequences of technology refashioning socio-economic development are influencing market processes, actors and inequalities. As in previous technological advances, coping with these changes will require efforts on the individual as well as on the political level.

机译：人工智能和机器学习等机器人，算法和数字技术的广泛引入的社会经济影响是什么？在Frey和Osborne之后（伦敦期货Agiletown：无情的技术和伦敦的回应。Deloitte，2014，Technol预测社会变更114（C），254-280,2017，我们将电脑化概率应用于奥地利的职业。我们得出结论，大约40％的奥地利劳动力在未来的职业中有可能发生大量变化，这是在未来的任务结构，技能要求和工作环境的大量变化，造成挑战和机遇。我们还提供了与男性相比的证据，奥地利的女性似乎更有可能受到技术变革的影响，并在部门取向发挥作用。遵循EBRD（技能，就业和自动化。第2章：EBRD（2018）：2018-19，欧洲银行重建和发展，2018年，我们看到更广泛的工作极化迈进。我们认为这是技术变革的分布后果，并认为技术refashing社会经济发展的后果正在影响市场过程，行动者和不平等。与以往的技术进步一样，应对这些变化将需要对个人以及政治层面的努力。

Industry 4.0-the future of Austrian jobs

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