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Proposed Iceland/United Kingdom power link-an indepth analysis of issues and returns

机译:拟议中的冰岛/英国权力链接-对问题和回报的深入分析

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This paper examines issues and makes an indepth engineering analysis of the profit which would be expected from electricity from Iceland using possible scenarios considering variables which could impact on the viability of the link. Considered is fluctuation of pool purchase price over half-hour periods of a complete year, discount rates, nonfossil fuel premiums, possible price movements in future years, and carbon taxes which it is expected could be imposed by the time the link is operational, as well as capital which is tied up during construction periods, availability of plant, and transmission losses etc. It is concluded that the link is viable for all but the very worst scenarios, but if development costs could be reduced by 10% or more the link would be more attractive to developers and investors on account of uncertainty and risk involved, unless EC and governmental guarantees are forthcoming. These conclusions are in agreement with an independent assessment which has recently been made by an International Energy Consulting Group.
机译:本文研究了问题,并对冰岛的电力所预期的利润进行了深入的工程分析,其中考虑了可能影响链路生存能力的变量,并提出了可能的方案。考虑了整个一年的半小时内池购买价格的波动,折现率,非化石燃料溢价,未来几年的可能价格变动以及预计在连接开始时可能征收的碳税,因为以及在建设期间占用的资金,工厂的可用性以及传输损耗等。得出的结论是,该链接适用于除最坏情况之外的所有情况,但如果可以将开发成本降低10%或更多,则该链接由于存在不确定性和风险,因此对开发商和投资者更具吸引力,除非即将推出EC和政府担保。这些结论与国际能源咨询集团最近进行的独立评估一致。

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