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Prioritization of renewable energy sources for Turkey by using a hybrid MCDM methodology

机译：通过使用混合MCDM方法，优先考虑土耳其的可再生能源

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摘要

Developing countries such as Turkey, with their fast growing population and economy, are facing an increasing demand for energy. Turkey does not possess a sufficient quantity of domestic oil and natural gas resources to support this growing demand. On the other hand, the country does have abundant reserves of renewable energy that can be a major component in providing part of the overall energy supply. The country plans to explore its renewable energy (RE) sources and increase the renewable energy share in near future. With this in mind, this paper proposes a hybrid model based on BOCR (Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks) and ANP (Analytic Network Process) to determine Turkey's energy status and prioritize alternative RE sources. BOCR analysis provides a strategic analysis and detailed overview of the country's energy issues. ANP is a practical multi criteria decision making (MCDM) method and offers the advantages of decision making models, based on tangible and intangible factors. 19 criteria are used to evaluate five alternative RE sources (Hydro, Geothermal, Solar, Wind and Biomass). The subsequent results show that the most important strategic criterion is economy; other criteria include security, human wellbeing, technology and global effects. Their weights are 0.485, 0.235, 0.130, 0.097 and 0.053, respectively. In the conclusion of this paper, the authors propose hydro power as the optimal RE source for the country.
机译：土耳其等发展中国家，人口和经济快速增长，对能源的需求日益增长。土耳其没有足够的国内石油和天然气资源来满足这种不断增长的需求。另一方面，该国确实拥有丰富的可再生能源储备，可以作为提供整体能源供应一部分的主要组成部分。该国计划探索其可再生能源（RE）的来源，并在不久的将来增加可再生能源的份额。考虑到这一点，本文提出了一种基于BOCR（收益，机会，成本和风险）和ANP（分析网络过程）的混合模型，以确定土耳其的能源状况并优先考虑其他可再生能源。 BOCR分析提供了该国能源问题的战略分析和详细概述。 ANP是一种实用的多准则决策方法（MCDM），它基于有形和无形因素提供了决策模型的优势。 19条标准用于评估5种可替代的可再生能源（水力，地热，太阳能，风能和生物质）。随后的结果表明，最重要的战略标准是经济。其他标准包括安全性，人类福祉，技术和全球影响。它们的权重分别为0.485、0.235、0.130、0.097和0.053。在本文的结论中，作者提出将水电作为该国的最佳可再生能源。

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