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DEMAND FORECASTING IN A POWER SYSTEM

机译：电力系统中的需求预测

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摘要

This paper is based on the results and experiences gained in the preparation of the report on Projections for Electrical Energy Consumption up to 2006-07 (using Econometric Modelling Techniques) released by the Central Electricity Authority (CEA), Government of India, New Delhi, in April 1992. The constraints felt while building the study under presentation have been appropriately highlighted in the step by step treatment of the long-term load forecasting exercise discussed in the succeeding paragraphs. It is desirable, as well as convenient, to assess and plan energy requirements in totality, inter alia, incorporating the likely demand for coal, oil, gas, etc. besides electricity. Since the CEA is engaged in planning and promoting development of the country's power sector, the study was limited to assessing the demand of electricity only in the foreseeable future. This paper studies the demand forecast in respect of utilities and does not cover the demand of units which will be met by their own captive power plants.
机译：本文基于印度中央政府电力局（CEA），印度政府，新德里发布的关于编制至2006-07年度用电量预测报告（使用计量经济学建模技术）的结果和经验。在1992年4月。在逐步介绍后续段落中讨论的长期负荷预测活动时，已经适当地强调了在进行演示时进行研究时所遇到的限制。期望并且方便的是，总体上评估和计划能量需求，尤其是除了电力之外，还包括对煤炭，石油，天然气等的可能需求。由于CEA致力于规划和促进该国电力行业的发展，因此该研究仅限于仅在可预见的将来评估电力需求。本文研究了有关公用事业的需求预测，但并未涵盖其自备电厂将满足的机组需求。

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