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The profitability of transnational energy infrastructure: A comparative analysis of the Greenstream and Galsi gas pipelines

机译：跨国能源基础设施的盈利能力：Greenstream和Galsi天然气管道的比较分析

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摘要

This paper explores how the profitability of European transnational gas infrastructure is affected by (i) alternative ways to organize the gas supply chain; and (ii) different forms of energy diplomacy. In particular, through a case study, the paper analyses how these factors determined the realisation and success of the Greenstream pipeline and the stalemate of the Galsi pipeline, despite the potential for both projects to be profitable. The issue is important in view of the full transition to the EU Single Market, of which unbundling and privatisation are policy pillars. In fact, before the transition, vertical integration in the foreign upstream and energy diplomacy were key elements for infrastructure profitability. The paper argues that these elements are still important, as constraints to gas procurement and binding contractual relations with producers have not changed substantially. Nevertheless, securing those advantages within the EU Single Market framework requires significant innovations. In particular, the paper suggests forms of EU energy diplomacy, based on bilateral trade deals, which could achieve forms of vertical integration for energy firms as well as help EU and non-EU counterparts align their interests. This paper may prove particularly relevant for the recent debate on how to shape EU energy diplomacy.
机译：本文探讨了欧洲跨国天然气基础设施的盈利能力如何受到以下方面的影响：（i）替代方法来组织天然气供应链； （ii）不同形式的能源外交。特别是，通过一个案例研究，尽管这两个项目都有可能获利，但本文分析了这些因素如何决定Greenstream管道的实现和成功以及Galsi管道的僵局。考虑到向单一市场的全面过渡，这个问题很重要，其中的捆绑和私有化是政策支柱。实际上，在过渡之前，国外上游的垂直整合和能源外交是基础设施获利的关键要素。本文认为这些要素仍然很重要，因为对天然气采购的限制以及与生产商的约束性合同关系并未发生实质性变化。但是，要在欧盟单一市场框架内获得这些优势，就需要进行重大创新。特别是，本文提出了基于双边贸易协议的欧盟能源外交形式，可以实现能源公司的垂直整合形式，并帮助欧盟和非欧盟同行调整利益。本文可能证明与最近有关如何塑造欧盟能源外交的辩论特别相关。

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