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Has the global expansion of energy markets truly improved energy security?

机译:全球扩张能源市场真正改善了能源安全吗?

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Global energy trade volumes have sharply increased over the past three decades, creating a more connected energy system. Increasing demand for energy, the emergence of unconventional fossil fuels, increasing environmental awareness, and technological progress in energy technologies have led to significant changes in national energy mixes and in global trade patterns. For many countries, energy security is the dominant concern in the design of energy trade strategies and policies. In this paper, we present a systematic analysis of the factors shaping the global energy trade network, considering several energy security indicators as well as broader economic considerations. We observe that, in line with energy security considerations, most countries have indeed increased the number of their trade connections resulting in a more densely connected global energy network. However, a substantial part of countries' energy commodity imports often still comes only from a few incumbent suppliers. Due to this supplier concentration global energy security does not increase with the expansion of the energy markets. Increasing energy security will require fundamental changes in the organization of the energy market in terms of contracts and the flexibility of energy infrastructures.
机译:在过去的三十年中,全球能源贸易量大幅增加,创造了更联系的能源系统。越来越多的能源需求,非传统化石燃料的出现,增加环境意识以及能源技术的技术进步导致国家能源混合和全球贸易模式的重大变化。对于许多国家来说,能源安全是在能源贸易策略和政策设计方面的主导问题。在本文中,考虑到几种能源安全指标以及更广泛的经济考虑,我们对塑造了全球能源贸易网络的因素的系统分析。我们观察到,根据能源安全考虑,大多数国家确实增加了其交易联系的数量,从而增加了更密集地连接的全球能源网络。然而,大量国家的能源商品进口往往仅来自一些现任供应商。由于该供应商集中,全球能源安全性不会随能源市场的扩展而增加。在合同方面,增加能源安全将需要在能源市场的组织和能源基础设施的灵活性方面的基本变化。

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