Renewable energy requirements on the ballot: An analysis of county-level voting results

Pritchard Zachary D.; Mills Sarah

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Renewable energy requirements on the ballot: An analysis of county-level voting results

机译：投票上的可再生能源要求：县级投票结果分析

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National polling data consistently find a large, bipartisan group of Americans support state renewable portfolio standards (RPS), policies which mandate generation of electricity from renewable sources. However, when such policies are actually put before voters on the ballot, they have been met with mixed success: out of seven RPS ballot initiatives, only four have been approved. From a newly compiled dataset of county-level voting results, we use ordinary least-squares regression to investigate the determinants of public support for RPS ballot proposals. Two models are constructed based on literature related to legislative adoption of RPS and, separately, public support of pro-renewable policies. Consistent with previous studies, political, economic, and demographic variables are found to be significant in predicting voter behavior. State-level fixed effects, however, are the largest contributors to both models. A synthesis model, combining elements from both the legislative adoption and public acceptance literatures, performs best when fixed effects are removed. As climate advocates increasingly call for policies to more quickly transition the electricity sector to renewable energy sources, this research provides greater insight into the prospects of successfully achieving that aim through a ballot initiative. It also, however, reveals insights applicable to legislature-driven RPS policies.

机译：国家民意调查数据始终如一地发现大型两党的美国人支持国家可再生组合标准（RPS），政策授权从可再生来源产生电力。但是，当此类政策实际上在选票上的选民之前，他们已经过了混合成功：超过七个RPS投票举措，只有四次获得批准。从新编译的县级投票结果数据集中，我们使用普通的最小二乘回归来调查RPS投票提案的公共支持的决定因素。两种模型是根据与立法通过RPS相关的文学建造的，分别地，公开支持亲可再生政策。在预测选民行为方面，发现与先前的研究，政治，经济和人口变量一致。然而，状态级固定效果是两种模型的最大贡献者。合成模型，组合来自立法采用和公共验收文献的元素，在删除固定效果时表现最佳。由于气候倡导者越来越多地呼吁政策更快地将电力部门转变为可再生能源，这项研究更加了解通过投票倡议成功实现目标的前景。但是，它还揭示了适用于立法机的RPS政策的见解。

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《Energy Policy》 |2021年第1期|111949.1-111949.9|共9页
作者
Pritchard Zachary D.; Mills Sarah;
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作者单位

Univ Michigan Ctr Local State & Urban Policy CLOSUP Ann Arbor MI 48109 USA|Univ Michigan Dept Chem Engn Ann Arbor MI 48109 USA;

Univ Michigan Ctr Local State & Urban Policy CLOSUP Ann Arbor MI 48109 USA;

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收录信息美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词
Renewable portfolio standard; Ballot initiative; Public acceptance;

机译：可再生投资组合标准;投票倡议;公众接受;

Renewable energy requirements on the ballot: An analysis of county-level voting results

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