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The costs of providing access to electricity in selected countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and policy implications

机译:在撒哈拉以南非洲撒哈拉非洲和政策影响中提供电力的费用

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摘要

Access to reliable energy is recognised as a key driver of human and economic development. Despite this, today only 45% of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa has access to electricity. Sustainable Development Goal number 7 calls for ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for everyone. Yet, at the current rate of progress, less than 60% of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa will have access to electricity by 2030. In view of the urgent need to accelerate the rate at which electricity access is provided, we developed a detailed least-cost optimisation model to identify the incremental costs of providing access for the group of 12 countries in the Southern African Power Pool. Our analysis shows that achieving universal access by 2030 in the region, would lead to an incremental generation cost of between 5.2 and 11.4 US$2018 billion, depending on the consumption of newly connected households. This corresponds to an increase of system generation costs by 4-8% and the levelized incremental cost of supply to the customer of 108-116 US$2018 per megawatt hour. This is lower than what a typical household pays for poor alternatives to electricity, such as kerosene for lighting, implying that policy makers should accelerate access.
机译:获得可靠的能源被认为是人类和经济发展的关键驱动因素。尽管如此,今天只有45%的撒哈拉以南非洲人口都可获得电力。可持续发展目标7呼吁为每个人确保获得负担得起,可靠,可持续和现代能源。然而,在目前的进展速度下,撒哈拉以南非洲的人口少于60%的人口将在2030年上获得电力。鉴于迫切需要加快提供电力访问的速度,我们开发了一个详细的最不成本的优化模型,以确定南部非洲电力池中12个国家集团提供访问的增量成本。我们的分析表明,在该地区2030年实现普遍访问,将导致增量代成本为5.2至11.4美元至2018亿美元,这取决于新连接家庭的消费。这对应于系统生成成本的增加4-8%,并向客户提供108-116美元至2018美元的资金增量成本。这低于典型的家庭支付差的电力替代品,例如煤油照明,暗示政策制定者应该加速访问。

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