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Investigating the rebound effect in road transport system: Empirical evidence from China

机译：调查公路运输系统的反弹效应：来自中国的经验证据

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摘要

Improving energy efficiency is recognized as a cost-effective way to conserve energy, it is also considered as a primary instrument in many energy policies. Nevertheless, efficiency improvements could spawn unintended rebound effects, which could offset the expected energy conservation and its associated CO2 reduction. This paper therefore intends to investigate the rebound effect in China's road transport system over the sample period 2003-2013. Utilizing a city-level dataset and a stochastic frontier rebound effect model, we found that there was considerable room to improve the fuel efficiency further in China's eight economic regions. Meanwhile, we also found the occurrence of rebound effects that the magnitudes of which ranged from ranged from 7.2% to 82.2%. The rebound magnitudes were shown to be negatively associated with the level of retail fuel prices, indicating that imposing carbon taxes might be a favorable way to downgrade the rebound effect. All these imply the necessity to design an appropriate policy that could facilitate efficiency improvements as well as attain CO2 reduction purpose.
机译：提高能源效率被认为是节约能源的一种经济有效的方法，也是许多能源政策中的主要手段。然而，效率的提高可能会产生意想不到的反弹效应，这可能抵消预期的节能效果及其相关的CO2减少量。因此，本文打算调查在2003-2013年样本期内中国公路运输系统的反弹效应。利用城市水平的数据集和随机前沿反弹效应模型，我们发现中国八个经济区还有很大的空间可以进一步提高燃油效率。同时，我们还发现了回弹效应的发生，其幅度范围从7.2％到82.2％。反弹幅度与零售燃料价格水平呈负相关，表明征收碳税可能是降低反弹效应的有利方法。所有这些都意味着有必要设计一种适当的政策，以促进效率的提高并达到减少二氧化碳的目的。

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