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Transmission mechanism between energy prices and carbon emissions using geographically weighted regression

机译：使用地理加权回归的能源价格与碳排放之间的传导机制

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摘要

This work quantifies the conduction mechanism of energy prices on carbon emissions and carbon intensity from the perspective of space and quantile. Taking China's Eight Economic Regions as an example, we explore how to optimize energy price policy to promote regional carbon reduction by combining the GWR model, quantile regression and scenario analysis. The study finds that (1)the energy prices can promote or suppress carbon emissions and carbon intensity through five variables, including economic development, industrial structure, energy efficiency, energy investment and energy consumption etc.(2) the current energy investment and consumption structure lead to a high level of carbon emissions, while such effect from economic development is relatively limited, and the influence direction and level of industrial structure and energy efficiency on carbon emissions are regionally different. (3) with the exception of the energy consumption structure, four other factors have varying restraining effects on carbon intensity, and (4) scenario analysis shows that optimizing industrial and energy consumption structure are crucial to reduce carbon emissions, and optimizing industrial structure helps to reduce carbon intensity. Finally, this paper proposes policy suggestions, aiming to realize regional carbon reductions by using price leverage.
机译：这项工作从空间和分位数的角度量化了能源价格对碳排放量和碳强度的传导机制。以中国八个经济区为例，我们结合GWR模型，分位数回归和情景分析，探索了如何优化能源价格政策以促进区域碳减排。研究发现（1）能源价格可以通过经济发展，产业结构，能源效率，能源投资和能源消耗等五个变量来促进或抑制碳排放和碳强度（2）当前的能源投资和消费结构导致高水平的碳排放，而来自经济发展的这种影响相对有限，并且产业结构和能源效率对碳排放的影响方向和水平在区域上是不同的。 （3）除能源消耗结构外，其他四个因素对碳强度的抑制作用也各不相同；（4）情景分析表明，优化工业和能源消耗结构对减少碳排放至关重要，而优化产业结构有助于降低碳排放。降低碳强度。最后，本文提出了政策建议，旨在通过利用价格杠杆来实现区域碳减排。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2018年第4期|434-442|共9页
  • 作者

    Li Wei; Sun Wen; Li Guomin; Jin Baihui; Wu Wen; Cui Pengfei; Zhao Guohao;

  • 作者单位

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Taiyuan Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Managemen4, Taiyuan 030024, Peoples R China;

    Shanxi Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ & Management, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Energy price; Carbon emissions; GWR Model; Transmission mechanism;

    机译：能源价格碳排放GWR模型传输机制;

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