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Quota allocation of coal overcapacity reduction among provinces in China

机译:中国各省之间煤炭产能过剩减少的配额分配

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摘要

Laying down fair and economically viable policies to allocate quotas of coal overcapacity reduction to provinces has drawn great attention from both governments and enterprises. In this study, the production function method and panel variable coefficient model are used to estimate the boundary production function and coal capacities of 25 coal-producing provinces. The results predict that China's coal overcapacity will reach more than 0.803 billion tons by 2020. Then, a quota allocation model of coal overcapacity reduction among the provinces is proposed based on nonlinear programming, with the aim of minimizing the total cost of national overcapacity reduction. The results show that the total cost of national overcapacity reduction based on the optimal allocation scheme is 56.6695 billion yuan less than that based on the government allocation scheme. The Gini coefficient of the optimal allocation scheme is smaller than 0.3, indicating that this plan considers effectiveness and fairness. Furthermore, we calculate the optimal proportions for the provinces to reduce coal overcapacity based on different capacity utilizations and different national coal production control targets. The results show that the optimal proportions for most provinces are approximately the same under different conditions, which means the optimal allocation scheme is robust and efficient.
机译:制定公平,经济可行的政策,将煤炭产能过剩减少的配额分配给各省,引起了政府和企业的高度重视。本文采用生产函数方法和面板变量系数模型估算了25个产煤省份的边界生产函数和煤炭产能。结果预测,到2020年,中国的煤炭产能过剩将超过8.03亿吨。然后,基于非线性规划,提出了各省之间煤炭产能过剩的配额分配模型,目的是最大程度地降低国家产能过剩的总成本。结果表明,基于最优分配方案的全国产能过剩减少总成本比基于政府分配方案的总投资少566.95亿元。最优分配方案的基尼系数小于0.3,表明该方案考虑了有效性和公平性。此外,我们根据不同的产能利用率和不同的国家煤炭生产控制目标,计算出各省减少煤炭产能过剩的最佳比例。结果表明,在不同条件下,大多数省份的最优分配比例大致相同,这意味着最优分配方案是稳健而有效的。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2018年第5期|170-181|共12页
  • 作者单位

    China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Management, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;

    China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Management, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;

    Nanjing Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Management Sci & Ind Engn, Nanjing 210003, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Quota allocation; Overcapacity reduction; Nonlinear programming; Coal industry; China;

    机译:配额分配;产能过剩减少;非线性规划;煤炭工业;中国;

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