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Towards a low carbon growth in Mexico: Is a double dividend possible? A dynamic general equilibrium assessment

机译：迈向墨西哥低碳增长：是否有可能获得双倍股息？动态一般均衡评估

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摘要

This paper simulates the medium- and long-term impact of proposed and expected energy policy on the environment and on the Mexican economy. The analysis has been conducted with a Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policy (Three-ME). This model is well suited for policy assessment purposes in the context of developing economies as it indicates the transitional effects of policy intervention. Three-ME estimates the carbon tax required to meet emissions reduction targets within the Mexican "Climate Change Law", and assesses alternative policy scenarios, each reflecting a different strategy for the recycling of tax revenues. With no compensation, the taxation policy would reduce CO2 emissions by more than 75% by 2050 with respect to Business as Usual (BAU), but at high economic costs. Under full redistribution of carbon tax revenues, a double dividend arises: the policy appears beneficial both in terms of GDP and CO2 emissions reduction. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：本文模拟了拟议和预期的能源政策对环境和墨西哥经济的中长期影响。该分析已通过多部门宏观经济模型进行了环境和能源政策评估（3-ME）。该模型非常适合发展中经济体的政策评估目的，因为它表明了政策干预的过渡性影响。 3-ME评估了达到墨西哥《气候变化法》中的减排目标所需的碳税，并评估了替代政策方案，每种方案都反映了税收回收的不同策略。在没有补偿的情况下，税收政策将使“照常营业”（BAU）的二氧化碳排放量到2050年减少超过75％，但经济成本很高。在完全重新分配碳税收入的情况下，会产生双倍的红利：该政策在GDP和减少CO2排放方面都看似有益。 （C）2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2016年第9期|314-327|共14页
  • 作者

    Rivera Gissela Landa; Reynes Frederic; Islas Cortes Ivan; Bellocq Francois-Xavier; Grazi Fabio;

  • 作者单位

    French Econ Observ OFCE, 69 Quai Orsay, F-75340 Paris 07, France;

    French Econ Observ OFCE, 69 Quai Orsay, F-75340 Paris 07, France|Netherlands Org Appl Sci Res TNO, Behav & Societal Sci Strategy & Policy Econ, Van Mourik Broekmanweg 6,Postbus 49, NL-2600 AA Delft, Netherlands;

    Natl Inst Ecol & Climate Change INECC, Penfer 5000 Col Insurgentes Cuicuilco, Mexico City 04530, DF, Mexico|Blvr Adolfo Ruiz Cortinez 5270 Risco C PB 2, Mexico City 04700, DF, Mexico;

    Agence Francaise Dev AFD, 5 Rue Roland Barthes, F-75598 Paris 12, France;

    Agence Francaise Dev AFD, 5 Rue Roland Barthes, F-75598 Paris 12, France;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Climate policy; Energy-economy modeling; Energy system; Carbon tax; Double dividend;

    机译：气候政策;能源经济模型;能源系统;碳税;双重股息;

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