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Exploring the limits for CO_2 emission abatement in the EU power and industry sectors—Awaiting a breakthrough

机译：探索欧盟电力和工业部门减少CO_2排放的极限-等待突破

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摘要

This study assesses the prospects for presently available abatement technologies to achieve significant reductions in CO_2 emissions from large stationary sources of CO_2 in the EU up to year 2050. The study covers power generation, petroleum refining, iron and steel, and cement production. By simulating capital stock turnover, scenarios that assume future developments in the technology stock, energy intensities, fuel and production mixes, and the resulting CO_2 emissions were generated for each sector. The results confirm that the EU goal for reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emission in the sectors covered by the EU Emission Trading System, i.e., 21% reduction by 2020 as compared to the levels in 2005, is attainable with the abatement measures that are already available. However, despite the optimism regarding the potential for, and implementation of, available abatement strategies within current production processes, our results indicate that the power and industrial sectors will fail to comply with more stringent reduction targets in both the medium term (2030) and long term (2050). Deliberate exclusion from the analysis of mitigation technologies that are still in the early phases of development (e.g., CO_2 capture and storage) provides an indirect measure of the requirements for novel low-carbon technologies and production processes.
机译：这项研究评估了到2050年在欧盟实现大量减少大型固定CO_2来源的CO_2排放量的减排技术的前景。该研究涉及发电，炼油，钢铁和水泥生产。通过模拟资本存量周转，为每个部门生成了假设情景，这些情景假设了技术存量，能源强度，燃料和生产结构的未来发展以及由此产生的CO_2排放。结果证实，通过现有的减排措施，欧盟可以实现欧盟排放交易体系覆盖的部门减少温室气体排放的目标，即到2020年与2005年的水平相比减少21％。但是，尽管对当前生产流程中潜在的减排策略和实施策略持乐观态度，我们的结果表明，电力和工业部门将无法在中期（2030年）和长期内遵守更严格的减排目标学期（2050年）。对仍处于开发早期阶段的缓解技术的分析（例如，CO_2捕集和封存）的有意排除在外，这间接地衡量了对新型低碳技术和生产工艺的要求。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2013年第8期|443-458|共16页
  • 作者

    Johan Rootzen; Filip Johnsson;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Energy and Environment, Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, SE-412 96 Gothenburg, Sweden;

    Department of Energy and Environment, Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, SE-412 96 Gothenburg, Sweden;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Scenarios; CO_2 abatement; EU;

    机译：情景;减少CO_2;欧盟;

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