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Drivers, trends, and uncertainty in long-term price projections for energy management in public buildings

机译：公共建筑能源管理长期价格预测的驱动因素，趋势和不确定性

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摘要

Buildings are responsible for almost 40% of energy consumption and CO_2 emissions in the EU (EC, 2010). Improving the energy efficiency of buildings is a vital step towards achieving the EU climate and energy objectives. Directive 2010/31/EU outlines measures specifically focused on the energy performance of buildings. Incentives are created for building operators to optimize their energy sub-systems in a more robust, energy-efficient, and cost-effective manner. The challenge is to choose efficient energy-supply portfolios accounting for technological and market deregulation and risks. Decision support tools for energy management in public buildings using future scenarios of market and technological developments would be beneficial. The aim of this paper is to discuss the drivers and uncertainties in the recent and future energy market trends and prices, including technological progress and developments in fossil-fuel markets. This discussion is relevant for researchers and policymakers in general, and in particular, as an input for scenarios used in the development of decision support systems.
机译：在欧盟，建筑物几乎消耗了40％的能源消耗和CO_2排放（欧洲共同体，2010年）。提高建筑物的能源效率是实现欧盟气候和能源目标的关键一步。指令2010/31 / EU概述了专门针对建筑物能源性能的措施。为建筑运营商创建了激励机制，以更加健壮，节能和经济高效的方式优化其能源子系统。面临的挑战是如何选择有效的能源供应组合，以应对技术和市场的管制放松和风险。使用未来的市场和技术发展情景来进行公共建筑能源管理的决策支持工具将是有益的。本文旨在探讨近期和未来能源市场趋势和价格的驱动因素和不确定性，包括技术进步和化石燃料市场的发展。总体而言，此讨论与研究人员和政策制定者相关，尤其是作为决策支持系统开发中使用的方案的输入。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2013年第11期|617-624|共8页
  • 作者

    Ruud Egging;

  • 作者单位

    Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management, Alfred Getz veg 3, 7491 Trondheim, Norway,SINTEF Technology and Society, Department of Applied Economics and Operations Research, 7465 Trondheim, Norway;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Energy price trends; Technological progress; Energy efficiency in buildings; Strategic decision making;

    机译：能源价格趋势;技术进步;建筑物的能源效率;战略决策;

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