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The value of holding scarce wind resource-A cause of overinvestment in wind power capacity in China

机译:持有稀缺的风资源的价值-中国风电产能过度投资的原因

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摘要

China's wind power capacity has increased dramatically in recent years, but about 30% of the installed capacity sits idle, so overinvestment in wind power capacity seems to be a serious problem. This paper explores reasons for the overinvestment. The economic analysis shows that, given uncertain future policy on wind power, it is optimal for power companies to invest more than the amount in a certain world. A part of the "overinvestment" has a real value, which can be interpreted as the value of holding scarce wind resource. This value exists because the wind-rich sites with convenient locations to connect to the grids are scarce resource, and also because the specific government policies that are essential for promoting wind power are uncertain in the future. This value should be taken into account in the investment decision, but it results in the phenomenon of "overinvestment". The concept of the value of holding scarce resource can be generally applied to the resources that are scarce and for which the future policy is uncertain.
机译:近年来,中国的风电容量急剧增加,但约有30%的装机容量处于闲置状态,因此对风电容量的过度投资似乎是一个严重的问题。本文探讨了过度投资的原因。经济分析表明,鉴于未来的风电政策不确定,对于电力公司来说,在某个特定的世界进行最佳投资要多于投资额。 “过度投资”的一部分具有实际价值,可以解释为持有稀缺风资源的价值。该值之所以存在,是因为风能丰富的地点具有连接电网的便利位置,这是稀缺的资源,而且因为未来对提升风能至关重要的特定政府政策还不确定。在投资决策中应考虑此值,但会导致“过度投资”现象。持有稀缺资源的价值的概念通常可以应用于稀缺资源,并且未来政策不确定。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2013年第12期|97-100|共4页
  • 作者

    Xuemei Liu;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Economics, California State University, 1250 Bellflower Blvd., Long Beach, CA 90840, USA;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Overinvestment; Wind power capacity; China;

    机译:过度投资;风电容量;中国;

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