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Modifying the rebound: It depends! Explaining mobility behavior on the basis of the German socio-economic panel

机译：修改反弹：这取决于！在德国社会经济专家组的基础上解释流动行为

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摘要

We address the empirical question of the extent to which higher fuel efficiency of cars affects additional travel and the way this behavioral aspect is modified by additional variables. The data set used to estimate a theoretical model of the rebound effect covers two panel waves, 1998 and 2003, taken from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). To take full advantage of the information in the data available, and to avoid problems due to possible selection effects, we estimated an unbalanced two-wave random effects panel model. Our results suggest that in line with the rebound hypothesis, car efficiency has a negative effect on the kilometers driven. That is, the lower the fuel consumption, the greater the distance driven. However, contrasting recent empirical literature about the rebound effect in the transportation sector, this seems to be true only for cars with a consumption of more than roughly 8 1 per 100 km. In addition, we find a positive diesel effect, which implies that owning a diesel engine car is positively correlated with the distance driven. Both effects can be interpreted as support for the rebound hypothesis, although not in a simple linear way. Moreover, it can be shown that some "soft" variables such as certain attitudes towards the environment tend to amplify this non-linear rebound effect.
机译：我们解决了一个经验性的问题，即较高的汽车燃油效率在多大程度上影响了额外的出行以及这种行为方式被其他变量修改的方式。用于估计反弹效应的理论模型的数据集涵盖了两次面板波，1998年和2003年，来自德国社会经济面板（SOEP）。为了充分利用可用数据中的信息，并避免由于可能的选择效应而引起的问题，我们估计了不平衡的两波随机效应面板模型。我们的结果表明，与反弹假设一致，汽车效率对行驶的公里数具有负面影响。即，油耗越低，则行驶距离越大。但是，与最近有关交通部门回弹效应的经验文献相反，这似乎仅对每百公里消耗量大于8 1的汽车才成立。此外，我们发现了积极的柴油效应，这意味着拥有柴油发动机的汽车与行驶的距离呈正相关。尽管不是简单的线性方式，但这两种效应都可以解释为对反弹假设的支持。此外，可以证明，某些“软”变量（例如对环境的某些态度）倾向于放大这种非线性回弹效果。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2012年第2期|p.29-35|共7页
  • 作者

    Wenzel Matiaske; Roland Menges; Martin Spiess;

  • 作者单位

    Helmut-Schmidt-University Hamburg, Holstenhofweg 85,22043 Hamburg, Germany;

    Oausthal University of Technology, Institutfllr Wirtschaftswissenschaftjulius-Albert-Strasse 6, 38678 Clausthal-Zellerfeld, Germany;

    Hamburg University, Department of Psychological Methods, Van-Melle-Park 5, 20146 Hamburg, Germany;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    rebound effect; panel studies; fuel consumption;

    机译：反弹效果;专题研究;燃油消耗;

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