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A sustainable scenario for Venezuelan power generation sector in 2050 and its costs

机译:委内瑞拉电力部门在2050年的可持续发展前景及其成本

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摘要

The present research study used the quantitative approach to analyze the present and future situation of the Venezuelan power generation sector; to achieve that, the total energy generation costs and GHG emissions of four scenarios in 2050 were estimated and compared, considering two demand groups, high and low demand. For each demand scenario, two supply matrix were considered, a generation matrix based on the existing national power generation plans and trends (these scenarios were referred as BAU) and a configuration based on the renewable energy resources available in Venezuela and without the use of either nuclear or CCS technologies, and these scenarios are referred as Sustainable Scenarios (SUS). In the first section, the present situation is presented, followed by an explanation of the applied methodology and the implemented tools. In the third and fourth sections the available recourses and the applied basic assumptions for the four of scenarios are presented and discussed, respectively, followed by the results. In this study it is shown that Venezuela has all the resources it needs to achieve sustainable development in the power generation sector. It is also proved that an energy efficiency improvement is the easiest path to reduce GHG emissions.
机译:本研究使用定量方法来分析委内瑞拉发电部门的现状和未来情况。为了实现这一目标,在考虑到两个需求类别(高需求和低需求)的情况下,对2050年四种情景的总发电成本和温室气体排放进行了估算和比较。对于每种需求方案,都考虑了两个供应矩阵,一个基于现有国家发电计划和趋势的发电矩阵(这些方案称为BAU),一个基于委内瑞拉可获得的可再生能源而未使用任何一种的配置核技术或CCS技术,这些方案称为可持续方案(SUS)。在第一部分中,介绍了当前的情况,然后解释了所应用的方法和已实现的工具。在第三部分和第四部分中,分别介绍和讨论了四种方案的可用资源和适用的基本假设,然后给出了结果。这项研究表明,委内瑞拉拥有实现发电部门可持续发展所需的所有资源。还证明提高能效是减少温室气体排放的最简单途径。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2012年第5期|p.331-340|共10页
  • 作者

    Santiago Bautista;

  • 作者单位

    International Institute of Management, Energy and Environmental Management in Developing Countries, University of Flensburg, Germany;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    sustainable development; power generation; renewable energy;

    机译:可持续发展;发电;再生能源;

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