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首页> 外文期刊>Energy Policy >Capturing spatial effects, technology interactions, and uncertainty in urban energy and carbon models: Retrofitting newcastle as a case-study
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Capturing spatial effects, technology interactions, and uncertainty in urban energy and carbon models: Retrofitting newcastle as a case-study

机译：捕获空间效应，技术相互作用以及城市能源和碳模型中的不确定性：将新堡改造为案例研究

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摘要

Local authorities often rely upon urban energy and carbon modelling tools to develop mitigation policies and strategies that will deliver reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. In this paper the UK example of Newcastle-upon-Tyne is used to critique current practice, noting that important features of urban energy systems are often omitted by bottom-up tools including interactions between technologies, spatial disaggregation of demand, and the ability to pursue over-arching policy goals like cost minimization. An alternative optimization-based approach is then described and applied to the Newcastle case, at the scale of both the whole city and the South Heaton district, and using Monte Carlo techniques to address policy uncertainty. The results show that this new method can help policy makers draw more robust policy conclusions, sensitive to spatial variations in energy demand and capturing the interactions between developments in the national energy system and local policy options. Further work should focus on improving our understanding of local building stocks and energy demands so as to better assess the potential of new technologies and policies.
机译：地方当局通常依靠城市能源和碳模型工具来制定缓解政策和战略，以减少温室气体的排放。在本文中，以泰恩河畔纽卡斯尔的英国为例来批评当前的做法，并指出，自下而上的工具通常会忽略城市能源系统的重要特征，包括技术之间的相互作用，需求的空间分解以及追求能力。总体政策目标，如成本最小化。然后描述了一种基于优化的替代方法，并将其应用于整个城市和南希顿地区的规模的纽卡斯尔案例，并使用蒙特卡洛技术解决政策的不确定性。结果表明，这种新方法可以帮助决策者得出更可靠的政策结论，对能源需求的空间变化敏感，并捕获国家能源系统的发展与地方政策选择之间的相互作用。进一步的工作应集中在增进我们对本地建筑存量和能源需求的理解上，以便更好地评估新技术和新政策的潜力。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2012年第7期|p.253-267|共15页
  • 作者

    James Keirstead; Carlos Calderon;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Imperial College, London SW7 2AZ, UK;

    School of Architecture Planning & Landscape, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    urban energy systems; optimization; retrofit;

    机译：城市能源系统;优化;改造;

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