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Energy transitions research: Insights and cautionary tales

机译：能源转型研究：见解和警示故事

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摘要

This short essay first reviews the pioneers of energy transition research both in terms of data as well as theories. Three major insights that have emerged from this nascent research fields are summarized highlighting the importance of energy end-use and services, the lengthy process of transitions, as well as the patterns that characterize successful scale up of technologies and industries that drive historical energy transitions. The essay concludes with cautionary notes also derived from historical experience. In order to trigger a next energy transition policies and innovation efforts need to be persistent and continuous, aligned, as well as balanced. It is argued that current policy frameworks in place invariably do not meet these criteria and need to change in order to successfully trigger a next energy transition towards sustainability.
机译：这篇短文首先从数据和理论两个方面回顾了能源转型研究的先驱。总结了来自这个新兴研究领域的三大见解，突出了能源最终用途和服务的重要性，过渡的漫长过程以及表征成功推动历史能源转型的技术和产业的模式。本文的结尾还提出了一些警告，这些警告也来自历史经验。为了触发下一次能源转型，政策和创新工作需要持续不断，协调一致和平衡。有人认为，现行的政策框架总是不符合这些标准，需要改变才能成功触发下一次向可持续发展的能源过渡。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2012年第11期|p.8-16|共9页
  • 作者

    Arnulf Grubler;

  • 作者单位

    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria,School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA,FES, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511, USA IIASA, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg Austria;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    energy transitions; energy history; technology policy;

    机译：能量跃迁;能源历史;技术政策;

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